The Department of Health, in this paper, has brought together two separate collections of 2010-11 Primary Care Trust spend that focused on public health and NHS Commissioning Board or Clinical Commissioning Groups to estimate how those resources would be deployed under the commissioning architecture proposed in the Health and Social Care Bill.
While these should be recognised as estimates at this stage, and further analysis is needed before 2013-14 allocations can be set, they do support initial planning by emerging Clinical Commissioning Groups and Local Authorities.
In this paper, we bring the results of these collections together with information from accounts and other sources to provide the best available estimate of how spend by PCTs during 2010-11, adjusted to a hypothetical break-even position, would map on to the new commissioning architecture. Our analysis is broken down to regional and individual PCT level. When uplifted to 2012-13 levels these offer a first indicative estimate of local baselines, supporting planning and the further development of the commissioning architecture.
The analysis also gives us the first reliable estimate of the current spend in areas that would be the responsibility of the public health system. Adding spend from central budgets to the spend by PCTs in Table 1, and adjusting for spend we believe it has not been possible to separate from CCG spend, we estimate that during 2012-13 the NHS will spend £4.6bn on public health services4. Of this, about £2.2bn will be spent on services that would fall in the future within the responsibilities of local authorities. This paper includes our estimates of how this baseline spend is distributed across local authorities.
The information we have collected has also allowed us to estimate the size of spend on future CCG responsibilities, around £64.7bn, as well as estimates of the spend in some significant areas that NHSCB will directly commission. However, our analysis does not include some areas that are currently funded through Strategic Health Authorities, such as primary care in prisons.
The aggregate breakdown for England is shown in Table 1. of the paper. The estimated breakdown of 2010-11 spend by PCT and Strategic Health Authority is presented in the accompanying Excel workbook, while the estimated spend on public health in LA areas (for relevant responsibilities) is shown in the Table at Annex A. The original data returns for each PCT are being placed on the Department of Health Website.